What is Reflexivity?Reflexivity is a Fintech platform that analyzes billions of data points, distilling significant patterns into easy-to-understand insights.
What does Reflexivity Cover?Reflexivity covers more than 36,000 global assets across Foreign Exchange, Equities (single names, ETFs, and indexes), Fixed Income, Credit and Commodities.
What is a Reflexivity Insight?Research generated by our AI system after observing a robust relationship between a driver and the asset's subsequent price action
Do Reflexivity Insights Really Work? A natural question that comes to mind as you peruse TOGGLE insights is - does this really work? And if so, why would they give it to me?
Reflexivity Insights vs Trading Signals A question frequently asked by users is “are Reflexivity insights trading signals and if not, why?”
Turning Data into InsightsData is an essential ingredient in any investment process. But when does an observed relationship - correlation, pattern, mean reversion - become a tradable insight?
WhatIF EarningsSo you think Netflix will beat EPS expectations because of the demand for its content but you have no idea what to expect from the stock? Enter WhatIF Earnings!
The Reflexivity Leading IndicatorThe Reflexivity Leading Indicator of 9,500 US stocks is the aggregated measure of all insights produced by Reflexivity on US stocks.
TLI - Deeper Investigation Investigating the hit rate, forward correlation, frequency and the number of TLI alerts generated from January 2021 to June 2022
Rangefinder IndexIntroducing Reflexivity latest leading indicator known as the Rangefinder Index, this indicator can be used to help investors trade the S&P 500 within a range.
Peak IndicatorWe love generating leading indicators using Reflexivity's insight, and we know you love them too. Today we introduce our Peak Probability Index.
Trough IndicatorWe love generating leading indicators using Reflexivity's insight, and we know you love them too. Today we introduce our Trough Probability Index.
Candle BreadthThe candle breadth indicator is another leading indicator for the SPX generated based on assessing the intraday moves across the 1,000 largest US stocks.
Market Phase ShiftThe market phase shift is our latest indicator, generated by observing correlation regimes amid stocks and the degree to which assets co-move.
Aggregated IndicatorAs the name suggests, the aggregated indicator provides a unified view of all our leading indicators. The indicator works on a “hat trick” logic.
Types of Stocks Whether investing in preferred or common stock, these are a few categories of stocks based on their characteristics.
Understanding Equity IndicesInterested in getting involved in the market or a subset of assets without directly exposing yourself to the individual assets?
Valuing Equity SecuritiesThere are different ways to value an equity security - some are straightforward while others require more work.
Initial Public Offering (IPO)Every public company in the world started somewhere: whether it was in a garage like Apple or a basement like Amazon, every company started as private.
Stock SplitIf a company wants to issue more shares but all its shares outstanding are owned, it can initiate a stock split.
Stock DilutionWhen a company issues or creates new shares, that causes the original shareholders percentage of ownership in the company to reduce.
Starting to TradeNow that you’ve decided to start investing, here are a few questions to ask yourself.
Tips Before You Start InvestingBefore anyone starts investing, they must ask themselves the following questions.
How to Construct a PortfolioConstructing portfolios is fun. Your portfolio expresses your investing views, your beliefs and even your ethical views.
Managing Your PortfolioOnce you have setup your portfolio, you must regularly maintain it - how you might ask?
DiversificationOne of the ways to reduce your exposure to the different risks in the market is by spreading your holdings across the market
What is an Equity Index?An index is used to measure the performance of a basket of securities, mimicking the performance of an entire market or a specific industry.
What are Options?An option is a contract between two parties (and a method of making/losing a lot of money)
What are Derivative Contracts?Derivative contracts began in the agricultural industry where one party to a contract agreed to sell goods to the other party at a specified price on a specific date.
What are Commodities?Commodities are raw materials such as copper or coffee, that can be bought and sold.
What are Currencies?A currency is the official means of payment in a country (USD in the United States) and the currency market entails the exchange of global currencies.
What is Fixed Income?Securities that pay a fixed amount of interest at a fixed time to an investor/holder of a fixed income security.
What are Alternative Instruments?Alternative investments differ from traditional investments by offering investors exposure to streams of return that go beyond traditional “long-only” market exposure.
Bull and Bear marketIf you're trading, you've probably heard these words thrown around? Is it even related to the market?
Meme StocksThe term “meme stock” has been recently coined after the market witnessed how extreme retail interest in a stock could meteorically increase its price.
Basis PointsCommonly used unit of measurement to track interest rates and changes in other financial percentages.
Short SqueezeWhat do you call a lot of demand for an asset which causes the price to skyrocket for a short period of time?
What is an ETF?A security that tracks another asset (index, commodity, industry) and can be traded on the stock exchange like any public equity.
How to Invest in ETFsETFs are known for being safer instruments but can also generate good returns without much expense for the investor.
Fee Structure of ETFsETFs are known for being inexpensive investments but there are a few costs which you should know about.
Tax Structure of ETFsAlong with low fees, ETFs are a good addition to your portfolio because of their tax efficiency.
Calculating the value of an ETFDid you know the NAV of an ETF can tell you whether its trading at a premium or a discount?
How have ETFs become so popular?After the “ETF Rule” passed in September 2019 by the SEC, ETF issuers have been able to bring new strategies to the market much easier than before.
A Brief Introduction Into Option TradingOne option could send your value to the moon, while the other could drive it straight into the ground. Therefore, finding the right option is essential to maximizing your success and profit.
4 Option GreeksThe Greeks are parameters that tell us how sensitive an option is to these factors: to time-value decay, to changes in implied volatility and to movements in the price of the underlying asset.
Calls and PutsType of contract that gives the holder the right, but not obligation, to transact an asset in the future at a specified price and time.
Bullish Option Strategies Can't find the right option strategy for a bullish move? We got you covered.
Bearish Option StrategiesWhat if an asset/market is heading downwards? What option strategy should you use?
Net Futures PositioningYou might have heard of positioning in equities but did you know net futures positioning can explain the split of options in the futures market?
Fixed Income ConceptsHere are some important concepts you should know before diving into fixed income investing.
Types of Fixed Income InstrumentsVolatile markets? Need some assured returns? Check out these types of fixed income instruments.
Interest RatesInterest is the extra amount of money a borrower has to pay on top of the loaned amount.
Valuation Valuation ratios show you the price you are paying TODAY for some FUTURE stream of cash flow.
LiquidityDuring the peak of the pandemic, the FED pumped liquidity into the economy with interest-free loans to institutions and stimulus payments to individuals.
Earnings and EPSEarnings are the profit of a company and EPS measures how much a company earns per share
DividendsDid you know that some companies pay you for owning a position in their firm EVERY YEAR? Say hello to dividends.
Return YieldThe return an investor can make on an equity position is divided into two sections: capital and dividend gain.
Analyst ReviewsFinancial Analysts from banks and research houses cover companies and the evolution of their business - affecting their perceived value.
Market Capitalization Investors in both equities and cryptos can use an asset's market capitalization as an indicator of supply and demand. Is it in demand or about to sell-off?
Equity Risk PremiumThe ERP is a measure of cross-asset valuation. It tells you if equities are cheap relative to bonds. High means value, low means cheap.
CarryCarry is the return you get for holding on any security. Bonds, futures and even equities have carry.
Market SentimentSentiment is the overall mood of the financial market. This gauge of the median psychological state reflects the price movements in the market.
Positioning AnalysisMeasure of how many investors are invested in a particular trade, with particular focus on investors with short-term trading horizons
Volume AnalysisVolume is a measure of trading activity - how many shares of a given financial asset has traded in a period of time.
Relative Strength Index (a.k.a. RSI)This simple indicator is what is called an oscillator, meaning it moves within a range. You can think of it as a spring that can be compressed and expanded within certain limits.
Support & Resistance Levels Wish you knew where asset prices could go next? This form of technical analysis looks at where the forces of supply and demand meet, helping traders determine where prices could go next.
Candlestick Charts A candlestick chart consists of many candles, each showing the open, high, low and closing price. Candlesticks help traders determine a trend in an asset
MomentumInvestors trying to profit from a market trend could be described as riding a wave of momentum.
Seasonality IndicatorThis indicator is based on the assumption that security prices go through predictable changes within the same period of every year: a quarter, month, holiday period, peak period.
Sharpe Ratio“What happened the last 10 times that S&P 500 fell 2 standard deviations?” Ask Nobel-prizer winner William F. Sharpe.
Surprise Move IndicatorDid you know that the Surprise Move of a security is just a modified version of the Sharpe Ratio?
Consecutive Days Move Counter IndicatorThis indicator counts the number of consecutive days during which the stock moved in the same direction.
Realized VolatilityVolatility by its nature is a range-bound measure on the low side, it can never go below 0. This allows traders to distinguish regimes of low volatility.
Market Breadth indicatorsWere you aware that when an index like the S&P 500 or Dow Jones moves in one direction, not all the assets which it covers move too?
Stochastic IndicatorThe theory is that if this oscillator is close to the bottom of its range, then so is the stock and vice versa.
Golden Cross vs. Death Cross Both these technical indicators are used as long-term forecasts for a stock or the market: a golden cross signals a potential bull market and a death signals a potential bear market.
MACD IndicatorThis acronym means Moving Average Convergence Divergence and the indicator is calculated as the difference between a shorter and a longer moving averages.
Citi Economic SurprisesCESI is a long-standing series published by Citi’s FX research department to gauge whether the economy is “beating expectations” of economic forecasters.
Citi Inflation SurprisesCISI is a long-standing series published by Citi’s FX research department to gauge whether inflation is “beating expectations” of economic forecasters.
ISM Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)PMIs are surveys that ask companies “How is business going compared to last month, better or worse?”
US ISM Manufacturing New Orders PMIThe companies who produce PMIs, such as ISM in the US, send out questionnaires to large groups of companies, asking questions like “are inventories higher or lower than last month?”
Monetary PolicyMonetary policy refers to the tools used by a central bank in order to control the overall money supply, to either promote economic growth or slow it down.
Fiscal PolicyJust like the Federal Reserve is responsible for monetary policy, on the other hand, fiscal policy falls under the responsibility of the government.
Presidential Elections Every 4 years, the United States presidential election brings the opportunity for new policy, laws and foreign relations. While some may be more radical than others, this change in leadership does affect the economy, stock market and specifically, your portfolio.
FED Meetings (a.k.a. FOMC)The Federal Reserve is the central banking system of the US and its goal is to "promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates."
OPEC MeetingThe Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is an intergovernmental organization of 13 oil-producing countries who meet to coordinate petroleum policies and ensure market stability. OPEC is in effect an oil price-setting cartel.
What are Cryptocurrencies?The crypto market is very volatile - whilst this can help investors achieve high returns, the potential for losses are equally higher.
How to Invest in CryptocurrenciesInvesting in cryptos is becoming as easy as investing in equity shares thanks to technology and its rise in demand.
Alternative Methods to Investing in CryptoSo you want to get into crypto without directly purchasing the coin?
Crypto MiningNot all Bitcoins are currently in circulation - this is because the rest need to be “mined."
Brief Introduction Here’s a guide to walk you through the different crypto indicators which the TOGGLE AI system will be using to generate insights.
Capitalization You may have heard of market cap for equities but did you know that cryptos have a "market cap" too?
SupplyUnderstanding supply is crucial to determine the coin’s market capitalization, demand and hence value
Hash RateA measure of the total computational power being used by a proof-of-work cryptocurrency network to process transactions in a blockchain.
FeesThe most popular fee schedule used by cryptocurrency exchanges uses a tiered "maker" and "taker" scheme.
Puell MultipleThis ratio allows you to gauge the local level of supply in the context of the recent past
Miner Purchases and SalesHere are some factors to help you understand where the “value” of a crypto currency could go next.
TransactionsTransactions represent a bundle of intended actions to alter the ledger initiated by a user (human or machine)
NetworkA coin's distribution factor and value transaction ratio can help understand the coin’s supply and value
Introduction to CommoditiesTrading commodities predates stocks and bonds by many centuries as merchants would meet along trade routes to exchange agricultural and craft products.
Investing in Commodities So you're ready to invest in commodities - what should you know before investing?
Alternative methods to investing If you're looking for alternative (and easier) ways to invest in commodities, here are some approaches.
How are commodities priced? There are many factors that move commodity prices everyday. Similar to equities, the price is primarily determined by the intersection of supply and demand.
Contango vs. Backwardation Commodity speculators and hedgers are always watching the shape of the futures curve - specifically if the futures markets are in contango or backwardation.
What makes an FX cross cheap? Valuing a currency is not easy. Here we will review some of the most common methods.
Can we value a security against the trend of the economy?Think about the SPX or the US 10y. These benchmarks are linked to the economy, so one can assume that when the economy moves, their underlying value changes too.